Free Stock Market Timing Software Demonstration

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Free Investment Timing Software Trial

Experiment with and test both the basic and advanced subscription using the trial programs to see how easy to use this stock market timing software and strategy is by clicking the items below. The programs will load price data from January 2000 forward to two weeks past.

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Investment Timing Software Results

Notes About The Results Shown Here:

The studies below are back testing results, but are accurate.
Accurate back testing can be done with PWA because the computer recalculates and redraws the charts each time a change is made.
As a consequence when you go back in history you see the charts as they were originally.
The PWA program does not produce hard, fast, and pointed buy or sell signals, but rather identifies buying and selling opportunities which may be as short as one day or extend for weeks at a time.
Therefore, there is an element of judgment involved and two people are likely to interpret what they see slightly differently

As you review the text and figures below, consider them in the context of the market between January 2000 and December 2009. The market went through five phases in this time span.

Initially there was a very volatile lateral market beginning in January 2000 and extending to October 2000.
The second phase consisted of a long bear market, October 2000 to August 2002 during which the market lost 47% of its value.
The third was a long bull market during which prices recovered to the previous high and slightly beyond.
Next there was a market crash beginning in October of 2008 during which the market lost 42% of its value.
Finally another recession recovery began in March of 2009.

PWA performed very well in all five phases of the market.

The PWA programs performed exceedingly well in the volatile phase returning a positive 37.5% while the market oscillated within a 150 point range on the S&P 500 and produced no gain.
During the bear market PWA returned a positive 54.6% while the market lost 47% of its value.
PWA also out performed the market during the bull market phase, though not as dramatically—see the comparison charts page—but that’s fine since the market was going the direction we want it to go.
During the second bear, the market lost 42% while PWA gained 54%.
And more importantly, the PWA program missed the 2008 market crash entirely.

Results Using the PWA 500 Timer program

This is a back test of the PWA 500 Timer program, the "basic" subscription.

The PWA 500 Timer is structured to yield fewer trades but capture larger price moves.
The time span covered in the table below is from January 2000 through December 2009.
Two sets of results are shown, the S&P 500 Index, and the PWA 500 Timer. Loss figures shown in red.
The S&P 500 Index figures represent the year-by-year value of a buy and hold approach—making an investment in an S&P 500 Index Fund and then simply holding it without change.
The 500 Timer figures are shown in the other columns.
Where more than one number appears in a “year” row, the multiple numbers show dollar growth from one trade cycle (one buy and one sell) to another.

Note: all the table dollar figures are given in "numeric form", meaning without dollar signs, commas, or decimals.

	S&P 500 Buy & Hold Strategy	PWA 500 Timer Market Timing Strategy
Year	Value	Buy	Sell	Value
Starting amount	10000			10000
2000		1348	1507	11100
		1386	1502	11988
	9200	1364	1300	11508
2001		1148	1342	13349
	7912	1028	1156	14951
2002		1090	1165	15848
		843	947	17750
	6171	798	920	20413
2003		820	980	24291
	7529	1033
2004			1140	26721
	8206	1063	1206	30194
2005	8452	1140
2006			1325
		1223	1370	39229
	9382	1387
2007			1520	42759
		1430	1552	46180
	9663	1428	1532	49413
2008		1330	1411	52377
	6087	1264	1156	48187
2009		728	940	62162
	7427	880	1059	74594

% Gain	- 37%			645%
Trades	none			20

A pdf document of the above table with additional details is available here.

We can make several observations about the results:

A buy and hold approach would have yielded a loss of 37% in ten years.
During the same time frame the PWA 500 Timer returned 645%.

Results Using PWA Online Analyzer:
S&P 500 Index Data & Default Chart Settings

This is a step-by-step back test of the PWA Online Analyzer applied to S&P 500 Index price data with the program’s default chart-parameters.

PWA Online is structured with tighter default chart parameters than is the PWA 500 Timer, and will produce more trades with smaller price moves but a higher overall return.
This program is suitable for use with funds that impose no limit on number of trades, exchange traded funds, common stocks, bonds, and other financial markets.
In practice, you will be able to able to control the parameters and you will not be restricted to the S&P 500.
You will be able to use the program for any market data set you choose.

Year	Buy	Sell	Points Gain or Loss	% Gain or Loss	Dollar Amount	Annual % Growth
Starting $					10000
2000	1360	1447	87	6.3%	10630
	1348	1508	160	11.8%	11884
	1356	1477	121	8.9%	12942
	1383	1464	81	5.8%	13692
	1428	1520	92	6.4%	14569
	1426	1432	6	0.0%	14627
	1347					46.2%
2001		1366	18	1.4%	14832
	1234	1253	19	1.5%	15054
	1211	1151	-60	4.9%	14316
	1003	1141	138	13.8%	16278	11.2%
2002	1090	1156	66	6.0%	17254
	881	940	59	6.6%	18393
	827	882	55	6.6%	19606	20.4%
2003	834				19606
2004		1123	289	33.7%	26215
	1093	1184	91	8.3%	28391	44.8%
2005	1137	1198	61	5.3%	29896
	1173	1248	75	6.3%	31779	11.9%
2006	1230				31779	0.0%
2007		1502	272	22.1%	38803
	1450	1518	68	4.6%	40588	8.6%
2008	1276	1388	112	8.7%	44119
	800				44119	8.6%
2009		927	127	15.9%	51133
	719	940	221	30.7%	66832
	879	1007	128	14.5%	76522
	1035	1110	75	7.2%	82032	85.9%

A pdf document of the above table with additional details is available here .

Results Summary

There were 24 trade cycles (one buy and one sell = one cycle) in 10 years
The dollar gain was $72,032
The return was 8.2 times original investment which translates to 720%.

Note: The table above was generated using S&P 500 Index prices. Using other funds, ETF funds, or individual stocks will provide better returns.

Note: these results are "pre-tax" figures, and do not account for brokerage fees.

Results Using PWA Online Analyzer:
S&P 500 Index Data & Tighter Chart Parameters

This is a trade by trade back study with 20 day moving average settings, tighter than the 63 day moving average with the default settings.

Year	Buy	Sell	Points Gain or Loss	% Gain or Loss	Dollar Amount	Annual % Growth
Starting $					10000
2000	1402	1455	53	3.7%	10370
	1360	1411	51	3.7%	10754
	1348	1523	175	12.9%	12141
	1401	1477	76	5.4%	12797
	1383	1466	83	6.0%	13564
	1381	1479	98	7.1%	14527
	1430	1472	42	2.9%	14949
	1329	1395	66	4.9%	15681
	1365	1371	6	0.4%	15744
	1264	1334	70	5.5%	16610	66.1%
2001	1234	1264	30	2.4%	17008
	1117	1182	65	5.8%	17995
	1103	1238	135	12.2%	20190
	1248	1276	28	2.2%	20634
	1214	1180	-34	-2.8%	20057
	965	1104	139	14.4%	22945	38.1%
2002	1080	1131	51	4.8%	24046
	1049	1103	54	5.5%	25369
	1040	992	-48	-4.6%	24202
	797	902	105	13.1%	27372
	834	962	128	15.3%	31560
	878	873	-5	-0.6%	31371
	776	900	124	15.9%	36359	58.5%
2003	817	895	78	9.5%	39813
	848	1010	162	19.1%	47417
	975	1027	52	5.3%	49930	37.3%
	996
2004		1157	161	16.1%	57969
	1106	1148	42	3.7%	60114
	1107	1106	-1	-0.1%	60054
	1064	1134	70	6.5%	63957	28.1%
2005	1163	1225	62	5.3%	67347
	1142	1241	100	8.7%	73206
	1177	1268	91	7.7%	78843	23.3%
2006	1254	1325	71	5.6%	83258
	1261	1288	27	2.1%	85007
	1230	1270	40	3.3%	87812	11.4%
	1236
2007		1456	220	17.7%	103355
	1395	1434	39	2.8%	106249
	1497	1532	35	2.3%	108692
	1492	1552	60	4.0%	113040
	1473	1497	24	1.6%	114849
	1411	1479	68	4.8%	120361
	1432	1546	114	7.9%	129870
	1506	1540	34	2.2%	132727
	1433	1469	36	2.5%	136045
	1445	1497	52	3.5%	140807	60.4%
2008	1310	1380	70	5.3%	148280
	1326	1381	55	4.1%	154349
	1330	1370	40	3.0%	158979
	1334	1415	81	6.0%	168518
	1156	1255	99	8.5%	182842
	848	968	120	14.1%	208623
	852	887	35	4.1%	217176	54.2%
	816
2009		906	90	11.0%	241066
	683	753	70	10.2%	265654
	787	869	82	10.4%	293282
	832	903	71	8.5%	318211
	882	944	62	7.0%	340486
	910	1042	132	14.5%	389857
	1025	1096	71	6.9%	416757
	1035	1110	75	7.2%	446763	105.7%